Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000020 0.000023 0.000026 0.000029 0.000033 0.000038 0.000044
2025-02-02 0.000016 0.000020 0.000024 0.000029 0.000037 0.000047 0.000062
2025-02-09 0.000014 0.000017 0.000022 0.000029 0.000039 0.000055 0.000081
2025-02-16 0.000012 0.000016 0.000021 0.000029 0.000042 0.000064 0.000105
2025-02-23 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021 0.000030 0.000046 0.000075 0.000138
2025-03-02 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000031 0.000050 0.000087 0.000180
2025-03-09 0.000009 0.000013 0.000020 0.000030 0.000052 0.000097 0.000223
2025-03-16 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000030 0.000053 0.000106 0.000273
2025-03-23 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000030 0.000056 0.000119 0.000347
2025-03-30 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000031 0.000059 0.000133 0.000442
2025-04-06 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000030 0.000061 0.000146 0.000552
2025-04-13 0.000007 0.000010 0.000017 0.000030 0.000062 0.000158 0.000680
2025-04-20 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000030 0.000064 0.000174 0.000878
2025-04-27 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000030 0.000067 0.000198 0.001229
2025-05-04 0.000006 0.000009 0.000016 0.000030 0.000069 0.000217 0.001646
2025-05-11 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000030 0.000073 0.000247 0.002423
2025-05-18 0.000005 0.000009 0.000015 0.000031 0.000078 0.000292 0.004044
2025-05-25 0.000005 0.000009 0.000015 0.000032 0.000083 0.000340 0.007044
2025-06-01 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000031 0.000086 0.000376 0.011433
2025-06-08 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000031 0.000087 0.000412 0.019362
2025-06-15 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000031 0.000091 0.000469 0.042540
2025-06-22 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000031 0.000095 0.000536 0.122287
2025-06-29 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000031 0.000097 0.000594 0.444289